MidasMartingale grid calculator for gold
How much will your deposit survive?
11 orders, $3.50 step: at $3,675 — no blow-up since January 2025
We ran this grid on real gold ticks from many different start days since January 2025 and took the worst start.
The hardest period for the grid
the slow gold decline of 26–28 May 2026: about −$195 in three days with no pullback. To survive it too, you need exactly this $3,675. The crash of 29 Jan–2 Feb 2026 (up to $771 of range in a day) this grid survives from $1,554.
In the model, on real gold ticks since January 2025; not a guarantee. Midas default settings, 0.01 lot, no top-ups. Not the income of a live account. Methodology
Video: what the cushion per 0.01 lot decided on live accountsFour gold grid strategies side by side: about $1,000 per 0.01 made +$1,385 in a month; $250 per 0.01 (a 0.04 lot on $1,000) was stopped out on August 19. 6 min, in English.
Formulas and worked example
With the Midas defaults on a $1,000 cent account (start lot 0.01, ×2, $1.95 step, 11 orders, leverage 1:2000, stop-out 40%), the grid reaches stop-out about $65.6 against the first order: all 11 orders are open after a $19.50 move, and stop-out comes $46.08 after the last one. Full basket: 20.47 lots. On a cent account that means every $1 gold moves against you costs about $20.47 of your deposit (on a standard account it would be 100× more).
Reviewed
Frequently asked questions
What does the chart show?
The worst case for your balance. The vertical axis is how far price has gone against the first order, in dollars (0, −$10, −$20…); the gold price is only used for the margin. Price goes against the grid and every order opens (white dots); then it keeps going until the balance reaches stop-out — the bottom, labelled “stop-out” under the green line. The dashed green path then climbs back to the break-even of the whole basket. The wiggles are an illustration; the order levels, the bottom and the break-even are calculated.
How is the bottom calculated?
It is the price move against the first order at which equity falls to the stop-out share of the margin (40% by default) and the broker starts closing positions. It is exact arithmetic of the lots, the step, the leverage and your balance.
What does “come back to break-even” mean?
Break-even is the price at which the whole basket of open orders closes at zero. The distance from the bottom up to that line is how far price has to come back; above it the basket is in profit. Drag the line at the bottom to see the balance you would need for a deeper drop and how far price would have to return from there.
What can the calculator not tell me?
It assumes every order opens exactly at its level and ignores swap, commission, slippage, margin tiers and price gaps, so a real stop-out can come earlier. It is arithmetic of the settings, not a forecast, and no balance rules out a loss.
What does “20 lots” mean in a grid?
It is the total lot: the sum of the lots of all open orders. On a cent account every $1 that gold moves against the basket costs as many dollars of your deposit as there are total lots. With a 0.01 start lot and ×2: 9 orders are 5.11 lots ($5.11 per $1), 10 orders 10.23 lots ($10.23 per $1), 11 orders 20.47 lots ($20.47 per $1). Each extra order roughly doubles what $1 of move costs. On a standard account the same lots cost 100 times more. The “Total lots” column of the table shows it order by order. What is basket tonnage →
About this calculator
Enter your balance and see the worst case for a grid on gold: how deep price can go before stop-out, and how far it must come back to break even.
Formulas and worked example
In short: how far can gold go against a martingale grid before stop-out?
A grid is stopped out when equity falls to the stop-out share of margin; with Midas defaults, a $1 000 cent balance reaches it $65.58 below the first order. Midas defaults here: start lot 0.01, ×2, 11 orders, $1.95 step, leverage 1:2000, stop-out 40%, gold $4 170 for margin. From that bottom price must come back $48.02 to break even. It is arithmetic of the settings, not a forecast: with too small a deposit a stop-out is possible.
loss(d) = Σ lotᵢ × (d − levelᵢ)Floating loss of the open orders after price has gone d dollars against the first order; level i is where order i opened. On a cent account 1.00 lot gains or loses $1 per $1 of gold price.stop-out: balance − loss(d) = SO × marginSO is the stop-out level (40% = 0.4); margin = total lots × 100 × price ÷ leverage ÷ 100. After the last order the room is (balance − loss − SO × margin) ÷ total lots.
Worked example: $20 balance, 5 orders
Cent account, start lot 0.01, multiplier ×2, step $2, 5 orders, leverage 1:2000, stop-out 40%, gold $4 000 (used only for margin). The orders open at 0, $2, $4, $6 and $8 below the first one with lots 0.01, 0.02, 0.04, 0.08 and 0.16.
| Total lots | 0.01 + 0.02 + 0.04 + 0.08 + 0.16 = 0.31 |
| Loss when the 5th order opens (−$8) | 0.01 × 8 + 0.02 × 6 + 0.04 × 4 + 0.08 × 2 = $0.52 |
| Margin | 0.31 × 100 × 4 000 ÷ 2 000 ÷ 100 = $0.62 |
| Room after the 5th order | (20 − 0.52 − 0.4 × 0.62) ÷ 0.31 = 19.232 ÷ 0.31 = $62.04 |
| Stop-out from the first order | 8 + 62.04 = $70.04 |
| Break-even, below the first order | (0.02 × 2 + 0.04 × 4 + 0.08 × 6 + 0.16 × 8) ÷ 0.31 = 1.96 ÷ 0.31 = $6.32 |
| Way back from the bottom to break-even | 70.04 − 6.32 = $63.72 |
Balance, number of orders and the move to stop-out
Each extra order with ×2 doubles the last lot, so the same balance withstands a shorter move: $1 000 holds $208.55 with 9 orders and $43.09 with 12. Once every order is open, each extra $100 of balance adds 100 ÷ total lots of room: 100 ÷ 20.47 = $4.89 with 11 orders.
| Balance | 9 orders | 10 orders | 11 orders | 12 orders |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $250 | $61.77 | $39.22 | $28.94 | $24.78 |
| $500 | $110.70 | $63.66 | $41.15 | $30.88 |
| $1 000 | $208.55 | $112.54 | $65.58 | $43.09 |
| $2 000 | $404.24 | $210.29 | $114.43 | $67.51 |
At 1:2000 margin is small, so the gold price barely changes these figures. Swap, commission, slippage and price gaps can bring a real stop-out earlier; the table is arithmetic of the settings, not a forecast.
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Midas runs the same calculation in its panel on the MT5 chart.The Grid tab shows the room to stop-out for your account and settings.